Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 4.906328 5.312322 5.761967 6.302264 6.941367 7.683262 8.625215
2025-02-09 4.434007 4.974522 5.615303 6.449497 7.537398 8.957962 11.052397
2025-02-16 4.044726 4.662450 5.434975 6.510321 8.041612 10.288335 14.209151
2025-02-23 3.705140 4.363257 5.222606 6.488866 8.442023 11.660739 18.481738
2025-03-02 3.336362 3.983191 4.851942 6.182491 8.355783 12.275669 22.167263
2025-03-09 3.089791 3.739671 4.637817 6.070163 8.561443 13.561962 29.660627
2025-03-16 2.828022 3.451193 4.327556 5.761003 8.358432 13.976900 36.143059
2025-03-23 2.688841 3.321228 4.233793 5.785012 8.784182 16.157877 61.758909
2025-03-30 2.544299 3.171159 4.093544 5.708998 9.001337 18.075525 121.671712
2025-04-06 2.398069 3.007611 3.916801 5.543400 8.989949 19.397874 311.618671
2025-04-13 2.246450 2.826474 3.697715 5.273825 8.683469 19.524772 1002.619870
2025-04-20 2.182905 2.771928 3.674856 5.362735 9.252941 23.935626 NaN
2025-04-27 2.171186 2.804190 3.812145 5.820315 11.105726 42.650657 NaN
2025-05-04 2.114121 2.762415 3.822472 6.034851 12.509785 79.256474 NaN
2025-05-11 2.047368 2.700422 3.791702 6.160565 13.801468 204.607456 NaN
2025-05-18 1.974576 2.623530 3.726660 6.198726 14.875969 5188.002655 NaN
2025-05-25 1.874465 2.495815 3.557317 5.958711 14.611993 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 1.803062 2.411469 3.461864 5.886543 15.143561 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 1.715159 2.295137 3.297724 5.617744 14.539451 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 1.669081 2.246193 3.257400 5.659981 15.672084 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 1.615925 2.182362 3.183308 5.601892 16.240058 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 1.557464 2.106726 3.081004 5.453111 16.152660 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 1.492144 2.016841 2.945852 5.199479 15.241525 NaN NaN